New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-03-04 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 1 New York Islanders

Win Probability

ANA: 50.5%

NYI: 49.5%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.21

NYI: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	ANA 5 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2025-12-11	NYI 5 - 2 ANA	NYI	NYI
2025-03-09	ANA 4 - 1 NYI	ANA	ANA
2024-10-29	NYI 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	NYI
2024-03-10	ANA 1 - 6 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	17	1	1.65
1	NYI	26	1	1.59
2	ANA	9	0	0.35
2	NYI	19	0	1.14
3	ANA	19	2	1.98
3	NYI	17	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8