New York Islanders at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-03-04 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 1 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 44.2%

NYI: 55.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.19

NYI: 3.51

Total Goals

Median: 7.4

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 63%

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ANA at home vs NYI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	ANA 5 - 1 NYI	ANA	NYI
2025-12-11	NYI 5 - 2 ANA	NYI	NYI
2025-03-09	ANA 4 - 1 NYI	ANA	NYI
2024-10-29	NYI 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	NYI
2024-03-10	ANA 1 - 6 NYI	NYI	NYI

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 1 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.2 - 3.5