St. Louis Blues at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-03-04 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Win Probability

SEA: 37.1%

STL: 62.9%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.75

STL: 3.30

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs STL: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	SEA 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2026-02-26	STL 5 - 1 SEA	STL	STL
2025-11-08	STL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	STL
2025-04-12	SEA 4 - 3 STL	SEA	STL
2025-02-25	STL 7 - 2 SEA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	1	1.22
1	STL	19	2	1.90
2	SEA	19	2	1.57
2	STL	8	1	0.71
3	SEA	19	2	1.26
3	STL	9	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3