Boston Bruins at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-03-05 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 6 - 3 Boston Bruins

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 56.9%

BOS: 43.1%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.42

BOS: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Stat	NSH	BOS
Season SV%	0.897	0.882
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	3.60

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	23	20	3	87.0%	2.66	1	-0.34
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	29	23	6	79.3%	3.83	4	-2.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs BOS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-05	NSH 6 - 3 BOS	NSH	NSH
2026-01-27	BOS 3 - 2 NSH	BOS	NSH
2025-03-04	BOS 3 - 6 NSH	NSH	NSH
2024-10-22	NSH 4 - 0 BOS	NSH	NSH
2024-04-02	NSH 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	NSH

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	8	0	0.38
1	BOS	14	1	0.91
2	NSH	20	2	2.24
2	BOS	9	0	0.51
3	NSH	7	2	1.21
3	BOS	17	0	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown