New York Islanders at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-03-05 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 3 New York Islanders

Win Probability

LAK: 64.5%

NYI: 35.5%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.44

NYI: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • LAK at home vs NYI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	NYI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-03-05	LAK 5 - 3 NYI	LAK	LAK
2025-03-11	LAK 4 - 1 NYI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-10	NYI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-03-11	LAK 3 - 0 NYI	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	30	0	1.49
1	NYI	6	0	0.16
2	LAK	12	0	0.78
2	NYI	31	1	2.07
3	LAK	15	6	3.13
3	NYI	18	0	1.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 5 - 3 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6