Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-03-06 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 53.8%

FLA: 46.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.16

FLA: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs FLA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	DET
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	12	2	1.00
1	FLA	11	0	0.80
2	DET	20	1	1.98
2	FLA	5	0	0.27
3	DET	19	2	1.77
3	FLA	19	1	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1