Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-03-06 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 3 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 60.8%
FLA: 39.2%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.32
FLA: 2.68
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | DET | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.846 | 0.942 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • DET at home vs FLA: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-15 | FLA 8 - 1 DET | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-10 | FLA 4 - 3 DET | FLA | FLA |
| 2026-03-06 | DET 1 - 3 FLA | FLA | DET |
| 2025-10-15 | DET 4 - 1 FLA | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-10 | FLA 4 - 1 DET | FLA | FLA |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 3 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.3 - 2.7
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