Colorado Avalanche at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2026-03-06 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 44.7%
COL: 55.3%
Expected Goals
DAL: 2.87
COL: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | DAL | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.912 | 0.925 |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • DAL at home vs COL: 5-7
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | DAL 0 - 2 COL | COL | DAL |
| 2026-03-18 | COL 1 - 2 DAL | DAL | COL |
| 2026-03-06 | DAL 4 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-11 | COL 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-05-03 | DAL 4 - 2 COL | DAL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 4 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.9 - 3.2
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