Minnesota Wild at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-03-06 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 60.5%

MIN: 39.5%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.24

MIN: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 7.4

Over 5.5: 73%

Over 6.5: 62%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • VGK at home vs MIN: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-06	VGK 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-12-29	VGK 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	VGK
2025-11-16	MIN 3 - 2 VGK	MIN	VGK
2025-05-01	MIN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-29	VGK 3 - 2 MIN	VGK	VGK

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.2 - 3.3