St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-03-06 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 50.6%

STL: 49.4%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.28

STL: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • SJS at home vs STL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	STL
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	STL
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	SJS
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL
2024-11-21	STL 3 - 2 SJS	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	1	0.73
1	STL	6	0	0.65
2	SJS	15	0	0.79
2	STL	13	2	1.46
3	SJS	11	0	0.81
3	STL	1	0	0.02
4	SJS	0	0	0.00
4	STL	2	1	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1