Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 45.0%

WSH: 55.0%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.87

WSH: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

WSH

Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs WSH: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	WSH 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2026-03-07	BOS 3 - 1 WSH	BOS	WSH
2025-10-08	WSH 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	BOS
2025-04-01	BOS 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	BOS
2024-12-31	WSH 3 - 1 BOS	WSH	WSH

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.9 - 3.5