Washington Capitals at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

BOS: 53.2%

WSH: 46.8%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.52

WSH: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs WSH: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	WSH 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2026-03-07	BOS 3 - 1 WSH	BOS	BOS
2025-10-08	WSH 1 - 3 BOS	BOS	WSH
2025-04-01	BOS 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-12-31	WSH 3 - 1 BOS	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	11	2	1.13
1	WSH	14	2	1.01
2	BOS	9	2	1.03
2	WSH	9	4	2.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0