Nashville Predators at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

BUF: 58.2%

NSH: 41.8%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.04

NSH: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 54%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	BUF 3 - 2 NSH	BUF	BUF
2026-01-20	NSH 3 - 5 BUF	BUF	NSH
2025-02-08	NSH 6 - 4 BUF	NSH	BUF
2025-01-31	BUF 4 - 3 NSH	BUF	BUF
2024-03-07	NSH 4 - 2 BUF	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	9	0	0.29
1	NSH	10	0	0.47
2	BUF	20	2	1.96
2	NSH	14	1	1.11
3	BUF	14	2	1.04
3	NSH	16	1	1.55

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0