Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

Win Probability

WPG: 72.1%

VAN: 27.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.42

VAN: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs VAN: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	1	0.76
1	VAN	9	1	0.74
2	WPG	25	0	1.25
2	VAN	9	0	0.33
3	WPG	13	0	0.92
3	VAN	13	2	1.08
4	WPG	2	1	0.30
4	VAN	3	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7