Vancouver Canucks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

WPG: 68.2%

VAN: 31.8%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.54

VAN: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

Stat	WPG	VAN
Season SV%	0.907	0.885
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.51	3.41

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	23	21	2	91.3%	2.45	3	0.45
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	35	32	3	91.4%	3.22	2	0.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • WPG at home vs VAN: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	1	0.76
1	VAN	9	1	0.74
2	WPG	25	0	1.25
2	VAN	9	0	0.33
3	WPG	13	0	0.92
3	VAN	13	2	1.08
4	WPG	2	1	0.30
4	VAN	3	0	0.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8