Montreal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Loss (71% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 71.2%

MTL: 28.8%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.53

MTL: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs MTL: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	LAK 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	LAK
2025-11-11	MTL 1 - 5 LAK	LAK	MTL
2025-02-05	LAK 6 - 3 MTL	LAK	LAK
2024-10-17	MTL 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-12-07	MTL 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	25	0	2.07
1	MTL	4	0	0.12
2	LAK	20	0	0.86
2	MTL	12	0	0.86
3	LAK	24	0	1.43
3	MTL	14	2	1.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 71.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8