Montreal Canadiens at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2026-03-07 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 58.7%
MTL: 41.3%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.27
MTL: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | LAK | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.889 | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.27 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • LAK at home vs MTL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | LAK 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | LAK |
| 2025-11-11 | MTL 1 - 5 LAK | LAK | MTL |
| 2025-02-05 | LAK 6 - 3 MTL | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-10-17 | MTL 1 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2023-12-07 | MTL 0 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 3 - 4 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9
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