Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2026-03-07 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 5 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 49.4%
CAR: 50.6%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.80
CAR: 3.33
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | CGY | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.862 | 0.878 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CGY at home vs CAR: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-07 | CGY 5 - 4 CAR | CGY | CAR |
| 2025-11-30 | CAR 1 - 0 CGY | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-02 | CAR 2 - 1 CGY | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-24 | CGY 2 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-03-10 | CAR 7 - 2 CGY | CAR | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 5 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3
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