Carolina Hurricanes at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 5 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

CGY: 56.5%

CAR: 43.5%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.07

CAR: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CGY at home vs CAR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	CGY 5 - 4 CAR	CGY	CGY
2025-11-30	CAR 1 - 0 CGY	CAR	CAR
2025-03-02	CAR 2 - 1 CGY	CAR	CAR
2024-10-24	CGY 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-03-10	CAR 7 - 2 CGY	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	7	0	0.17
1	CAR	18	0	1.11
2	CGY	17	1	1.57
2	CAR	11	0	0.62
3	CGY	9	0	0.61
3	CAR	18	0	1.17

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 5 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4