New York Islanders at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 New York Islanders (OT)

Win Probability

SJS: 49.1%

NYI: 50.9%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.40

NYI: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs NYI: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SJS 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-10-21	NYI 4 - 3 SJS	NYI	NYI
2025-03-08	SJS 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	NYI
2025-01-18	NYI 4 - 1 SJS	NYI	NYI
2024-03-07	SJS 2 - 7 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	0	1.05
1	NYI	15	0	0.65
2	SJS	13	1	0.91
2	NYI	14	0	0.64
3	SJS	13	0	0.60
3	NYI	16	1	0.97
4	SJS	6	0	0.28
4	NYI	2	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1