Ottawa Senators at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 7 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

SEA: 35.0%

OTT: 65.0%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.06

OTT: 4.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SEA 4 - 7 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-16	OTT 4 - 3 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-17	SEA 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-02	OTT 3 - 0 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-01-04	SEA 4 - 1 OTT	SEA	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	7	1	0.57
1	OTT	18	0	0.86
2	SEA	10	0	0.30
2	OTT	21	1	1.53
3	SEA	17	0	0.92
3	OTT	14	1	1.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 7 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.1 - 4.2