Ottawa Senators at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-03-07 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 7 Ottawa Senators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 36.3%

OTT: 63.7%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.12

OTT: 3.74

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 14-8-5 | 0.881 SV% | 2.95 GAA

Stat	SEA	OTT
Season SV%	0.903	0.881
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	2.95

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	37	30	7	81.1%	3.89	2	-3.11
OTT	Linus Ullmark	21	17	4	81.0%	1.79	1	-2.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • SEA at home vs OTT: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	SEA 4 - 7 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-10-16	OTT 4 - 3 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-17	SEA 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-02	OTT 3 - 0 SEA	OTT	OTT
2024-01-04	SEA 4 - 1 OTT	SEA	SEA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	7	1	0.57
1	OTT	18	0	0.86
2	SEA	10	0	0.30
2	OTT	21	1	1.53
3	SEA	17	0	0.92
3	OTT	14	1	1.50

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown