Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-03-08 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild (SO)

Win Probability

COL: 73.1%

MIN: 26.9%

Expected Goals

COL: 4.15

MIN: 2.85

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • COL at home vs MIN: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	22	1	1.78
1	MIN	14	0	0.49
2	COL	18	0	1.43
2	MIN	19	0	0.93
3	COL	13	0	1.19
3	MIN	14	0	1.05
4	COL	4	0	0.50
4	MIN	3	0	0.23
5	COL	4	2	1.95
5	MIN	4	1	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 4.2 - 2.9