Boston Bruins at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-03-08 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Boston Bruins (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 73.2%
BOS: 26.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.45
BOS: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 57%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | PIT | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.936 | 0.971 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • PIT at home vs BOS: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | PIT 5 - 4 BOS | PIT | PIT |
| 2026-03-03 | BOS 2 - 1 PIT | BOS | PIT |
| 2026-01-11 | BOS 1 - 0 PIT | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-13 | PIT 1 - 4 BOS | BOS | PIT |
| 2025-03-01 | PIT 2 - 3 BOS | BOS | PIT |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 73.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 5 - 4 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.5 - 2.9
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