Tampa Bay Lightning at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-03-08 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 8 - 7 Tampa Bay Lightning

Win Probability

BUF: 51.4%

TBL: 48.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 2.99

TBL: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 4.6

Over 5.5: 39%

Over 6.5: 29%

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • BUF at home vs TBL: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-06	BUF 4 - 2 TBL	BUF	TBL
2026-03-08	BUF 8 - 7 TBL	BUF	BUF
2026-02-28	TBL 2 - 6 BUF	BUF	TBL
2026-02-03	TBL 4 - 3 BUF	TBL	TBL
2025-04-13	TBL 7 - 4 BUF	TBL	TBL

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	08:26	BUF	Goal
2	02:15	BUF	Goal
2	05:10	BUF	Goal
2	07:55	BUF	Goal
2	11:07	BUF	Goal
2	12:26	BUF	Goal
2	14:46	BUF	Goal
2	17:37	BUF	Goal
3	00:59	TBL	Goal
3	05:46	TBL	Goal
3	06:12	TBL	Goal
3	09:48	TBL	Goal
3	11:03	TBL	Goal
3	14:29	BUF	Goal
3	15:43	BUF	Goal

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 15.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 8 - 7 Tampa Bay Lightning

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9