Chicago Blackhawks at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-03-08 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)

Win Probability

DAL: 70.7%

CHI: 29.3%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.77

CHI: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • DAL at home vs CHI: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	1	1.10
1	CHI	7	0	0.64
2	DAL	13	1	1.27
2	CHI	12	0	0.78
3	DAL	13	2	1.26
3	CHI	9	1	0.71
4	DAL	1	0	0.09
4	CHI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8