Edmonton Oilers at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-03-08 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

VGK: 47.9%

EDM: 52.1%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.34

EDM: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

EDM

Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 31% • VGK at home vs EDM: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	EDM 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	EDM
2026-03-26	VGK 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2026-03-08	VGK 2 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-12-21	EDM 4 - 3 VGK	EDM	VGK
2025-05-14	VGK 0 - 1 EDM	EDM	VGK

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.7