Calgary Flames at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions
2026-03-09 • Capital One Arena
Washington Capitals 7 - 3 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WSH: 57.0%
CGY: 43.0%
Expected Goals
WSH: 3.15
CGY: 3.06
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 50%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | WSH | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.912 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.923 | — |
| GAA | 2.39 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs CGY: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | WSH 7 - 3 CGY | WSH | WSH |
| 2026-01-23 | CGY 1 - 3 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-02-25 | WSH 1 - 3 CGY | CGY | WSH |
| 2025-01-28 | CGY 1 - 3 WSH | WSH | CGY |
| 2024-03-18 | CGY 2 - 5 WSH | WSH | WSH |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Washington Capitals 7 - 3 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.2 - 3.1
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