Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-03-09 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 2 Ottawa Senators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 34.7%

OTT: 65.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.08

OTT: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

OTT

J. Reimer

Stat	VAN	OTT
Season SV%	0.885	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	24	22	2	91.7%	3.89	5	1.89
OTT	J. Reimer	16	16	0	100.0%	1.55	0	1.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VAN at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	VAN 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-13	OTT 2 - 1 VAN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-21	VAN 4 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-23	OTT 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	OTT
2024-01-02	VAN 6 - 3 OTT	VAN	VAN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	6	0	0.42
1	OTT	12	3	1.58
2	VAN	12	0	0.67
2	OTT	15	0	0.85
3	VAN	10	0	0.46
3	OTT	11	2	1.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown