Ottawa Senators at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-03-09 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

VAN: 27.4%

OTT: 72.6%

Expected Goals

VAN: 1.87

OTT: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VAN at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	VAN 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-01-13	OTT 2 - 1 VAN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-21	VAN 4 - 5 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-11-23	OTT 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	OTT
2024-01-02	VAN 6 - 3 OTT	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	6	0	0.42
1	OTT	12	3	1.58
2	VAN	12	0	0.67
2	OTT	15	0	0.85
3	VAN	10	0	0.46
3	OTT	11	2	1.47

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 4.9

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 0 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 1.9 - 3.0