Los Angeles Kings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-03-10 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

BOS: 54.6%

LAK: 45.4%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.29

LAK: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	BOS	LAK
Season SV%	0.903	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.84	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	16	15	1	93.8%	2.31	0	1.31
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	23	21	2	91.3%	3.56	1	1.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BOS at home vs LAK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2025-11-21	LAK 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	LAK
2025-03-23	LAK 7 - 2 BOS	LAK	LAK
2024-10-12	BOS 2 - 1 LAK	BOS	BOS
2024-02-17	BOS 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	12	1	1.16
1	LAK	15	0	0.77
2	BOS	17	0	1.11
2	LAK	11	0	0.75
3	BOS	14	0	1.10
3	LAK	21	0	0.79
4	BOS	1	0	0.19
4	LAK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1