San Jose Sharks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-03-10 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 6 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

BUF: 62.0%

SJS: 38.0%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.21

SJS: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BUF at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	SJS 0 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-03-10	BUF 6 - 3 SJS	BUF	BUF
2025-03-04	BUF 2 - 6 SJS	SJS	BUF
2024-11-23	SJS 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-01-27	SJS 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	12	0	0.81
1	SJS	11	1	0.82
2	BUF	18	1	1.79
2	SJS	14	1	0.96
3	BUF	9	1	1.09
3	SJS	12	0	0.44

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 6 - 3 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0