San Jose Sharks at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2026-03-10 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 6 - 3 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 63.8%
SJS: 36.2%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.89
SJS: 2.66
Total Goals
Median: 4.4
Over 5.5: 34%
Over 6.5: 20%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | BUF | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.930 | 0.800 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs SJS: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-19 | SJS 0 - 5 BUF | BUF | SJS |
| 2026-03-10 | BUF 6 - 3 SJS | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-03-04 | BUF 2 - 6 SJS | SJS | BUF |
| 2024-11-23 | SJS 2 - 4 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-01-27 | SJS 2 - 5 BUF | BUF | BUF |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 63.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 6 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 2.9 - 2.7
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