Columbus Blue Jackets at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-03-10 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

TBL: 63.7%

CBJ: 36.3%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.14

CBJ: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 4.3

Over 5.5: 39%

Over 6.5: 28%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • TBL at home vs CBJ: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	TBL 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	TBL
2026-01-24	CBJ 8 - 5 TBL	CBJ	TBL
2025-10-18	CBJ 3 - 2 TBL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-03-04	TBL 6 - 2 CBJ	TBL	TBL
2024-12-17	TBL 5 - 3 CBJ	TBL	TBL

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.1 - 2.6