Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-03-10 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 60.5%

DET: 39.5%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.11

DET: 2.73

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Daniil Tarasov - 4-6-2 | 0.899 SV% | 2.96 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 13-8-1 | 0.893 SV% | 2.97 GAA

Stat	FLA	DET
Season SV%	0.899	0.893
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.96	2.97

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Daniil Tarasov	28	25	3	89.3%	3.19	3	0.19
DET	John Gibson	28	24	4	85.7%	2.54	0	-1.46

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • FLA at home vs DET: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	DET
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	DET
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	11	0	0.58
1	DET	16	2	1.48
2	FLA	12	0	0.91
2	DET	20	1	1.07
3	FLA	22	0	1.05
3	DET	8	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown