Pittsburgh Penguins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-03-10 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 61.0%
PIT: 39.0%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.28
PIT: 2.77
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | CAR | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.898 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CAR at home vs PIT: 6-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | PIT 1 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-18 | CAR 6 - 5 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-03-10 | CAR 5 - 4 PIT | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-30 | PIT 5 - 1 CAR | PIT | CAR |
| 2025-01-05 | CAR 4 - 3 PIT | CAR | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.3 - 2.8
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