Vegas Golden Knights at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions
2026-03-10 • American Airlines Center
Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DAL: 52.7%
VGK: 47.3%
Expected Goals
DAL: 3.28
VGK: 3.23
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 75%
Over 6.5: 64%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | DAL | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.916 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.896 | — |
| GAA | 2.57 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • DAL at home vs VGK: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | DAL 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2026-03-10 | DAL 2 - 1 VGK | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-01-29 | VGK 4 - 5 DAL | DAL | VGK |
| 2025-01-28 | VGK 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | VGK |
| 2025-01-24 | DAL 4 - 3 VGK | DAL | DAL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Dallas Stars 2 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.3 - 3.2
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