San Jose Sharks at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-03-12 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 4 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 51.0%

SJS: 49.0%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.46

SJS: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BOS at home vs SJS: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	BOS 2 - 4 SJS	SJS	BOS
2025-11-23	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	SJS
2025-03-22	SJS 3 - 1 BOS	SJS	SJS
2025-01-20	BOS 6 - 3 SJS	BOS	BOS
2023-11-30	BOS 3 - 0 SJS	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	22	0	1.27
1	SJS	8	0	0.81
2	BOS	16	0	0.92
2	SJS	16	2	1.46
3	BOS	20	0	1.47
3	SJS	14	1	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0