Anaheim Ducks at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions
2026-03-12 • Scotiabank Arena
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TOR: 54.0%
ANA: 46.0%
Expected Goals
TOR: 3.05
ANA: 3.13
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TOR
Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 30-20-4 | 0.888 SV% | 3.10 GAA
| Stat | TOR | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.914 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.840 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.815 |
| GAA | 2.74 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • TOR at home vs ANA: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | ANA 4 - 5 TOR | TOR | ANA |
| 2026-03-12 | TOR 6 - 4 ANA | TOR | TOR |
| 2025-03-30 | ANA 2 - 3 TOR | TOR | ANA |
| 2024-12-12 | TOR 3 - 2 ANA | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-02-17 | TOR 9 - 2 ANA | TOR | TOR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 10.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Toronto Maple Leafs 6 - 4 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 3.1 - 3.1
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