Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-03-12 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Detroit Red Wings @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 54.5%
DET: 45.5%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.91
DET: 2.56
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 36%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | TBL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.926 | 0.897 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • TBL at home vs DET: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-28 | DET 3 - 6 TBL | TBL | DET |
| 2025-10-17 | DET 2 - 1 TBL | DET | DET |
| 2025-04-11 | TBL 3 - 4 DET | DET | TBL |
| 2025-02-08 | DET 3 - 6 TBL | TBL | DET |
| 2025-01-25 | DET 2 - 0 TBL | DET | DET |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-12 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.