Columbus Blue Jackets at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-03-12 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 59.0%

CBJ: 41.0%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.30

CBJ: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Stat	FLA	CBJ
Season SV%	0.888	0.877
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.80	4.04

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	31	30	1	96.8%	3.81	5	2.81
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	21	19	2	90.5%	2.55	1	0.55

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • FLA at home vs CBJ: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	FLA 2 - 1 CBJ	FLA	FLA
2026-03-05	CBJ 4 - 2 FLA	CBJ	CBJ
2025-12-06	FLA 7 - 6 CBJ	FLA	FLA
2025-03-20	CBJ 0 - 1 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-06	FLA 3 - 0 CBJ	FLA	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	9	0	0.60
1	CBJ	17	1	1.02
2	FLA	12	1	0.36
2	CBJ	17	2	2.06
3	FLA	19	0	0.98
3	CBJ	7	2	0.63
4	FLA	5	0	0.62
4	CBJ	1	0	0.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1