St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-03-12 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (70% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 69.6%

STL: 30.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.38

STL: 1.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs STL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	CAR 1 - 3 STL	STL	CAR
2026-01-13	STL 3 - 0 CAR	STL	STL
2024-11-17	CAR 4 - 1 STL	CAR	CAR
2024-10-19	STL 4 - 3 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-04-12	STL 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	14	2	1.32
1	STL	2	0	0.06
2	CAR	17	0	1.19
2	STL	11	0	0.83
3	CAR	17	1	0.68
3	STL	10	2	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 69.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 2.0