St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-03-12 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (69% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 68.6%
STL: 31.4%
Expected Goals
CAR: 4.02
STL: 2.41
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | CAR | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.908 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.894 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs STL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | CAR 1 - 3 STL | STL | CAR |
| 2026-01-13 | STL 3 - 0 CAR | STL | CAR |
| 2024-11-17 | CAR 4 - 1 STL | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-19 | STL 4 - 3 CAR | STL | STL |
| 2024-04-12 | STL 2 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 68.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 1 - 3 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 4.0 - 2.4
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