Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2026-03-12 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 61.9%
PHI: 38.1%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.15
PHI: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 47%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs PHI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | MIN 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | MIN |
| 2025-10-18 | PHI 2 - 1 MIN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-14 | MIN 4 - 1 PHI | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-10-26 | PHI 7 - 5 MIN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-01-12 | MIN 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MIN | 9 | 1 | 1.05 |
| 1 | PHI | 16 | 0 | 0.84 |
| 2 | MIN | 16 | 0 | 1.13 |
| 2 | PHI | 11 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 3 | MIN | 14 | 0 | 0.88 |
| 3 | PHI | 8 | 1 | 0.50 |
| 4 | MIN | 1 | 0 | 0.00 |
| 4 | PHI | 5 | 1 | 0.60 |
| 5 | MIN | 3 | 0 | 0.13 |
| 5 | PHI | 3 | 1 | 0.90 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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