Philadelphia Flyers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2026-03-12 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 65.3%
PHI: 34.7%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.22
PHI: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 51%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | MIN | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.923 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs PHI: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-12 | MIN 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | MIN |
| 2025-10-18 | PHI 2 - 1 MIN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-12-14 | MIN 4 - 1 PHI | MIN | MIN |
| 2024-10-26 | PHI 7 - 5 MIN | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-01-12 | MIN 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | MIN |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.6
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