New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2026-03-12 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 57.3%
NYR: 42.7%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.57
NYR: 3.07
Total Goals
Median: 7.6
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 66%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | WPG | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.688 | 0.885 |
| GAA | 2.51 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs NYR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | NYR 2 - 3 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2026-03-12 | WPG 3 - 6 NYR | NYR | WPG |
| 2025-03-11 | WPG 2 - 1 NYR | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-11-12 | NYR 3 - 6 WPG | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-03-19 | NYR 2 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.6 - 3.1
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