New York Rangers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-03-12 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 New York Rangers

Win Probability

WPG: 50.0%

NYR: 50.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.35

NYR: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • WPG at home vs NYR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	NYR 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	NYR
2026-03-12	WPG 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-11	WPG 2 - 1 NYR	WPG	WPG
2024-11-12	NYR 3 - 6 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-03-19	NYR 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	9	0	0.51
1	NYR	6	0	0.36
2	WPG	18	0	1.34
2	NYR	13	0	0.58
3	WPG	16	1	1.25
3	NYR	15	2	1.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2