Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-03-12 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 34.9%

COL: 65.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.60

COL: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Stat	SEA	COL
Season SV%	0.903	0.919
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	2.13

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	26	21	5	80.8%	2.83	1	-2.17
COL	Scott Wedgewood	29	28	1	96.6%	2.66	2	1.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 89% • SEA at home vs COL: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	2	0.94
1	COL	22	1	1.52
2	SEA	19	0	0.92
2	COL	9	0	0.78
3	SEA	15	0	0.80
3	COL	13	0	0.54

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown