Los Angeles Kings at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-03-13 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NYI: 46.8%

LAK: 53.2%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.02

LAK: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	NYI	LAK
Season SV%	0.910	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.55	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	27	24	3	88.9%	4.86	6	1.86
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	23	21	2	91.3%	3.04	1	1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYI at home vs LAK: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	NYI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2026-03-05	LAK 5 - 3 NYI	LAK	LAK
2025-03-11	LAK 4 - 1 NYI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-10	NYI 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2024-03-11	LAK 3 - 0 NYI	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	16	0	1.06
1	LAK	15	3	2.11
2	NYI	13	1	0.99
2	LAK	19	1	1.23
3	NYI	18	0	0.98
3	LAK	9	2	1.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown