Anaheim Ducks at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2026-03-14 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 0 Anaheim Ducks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

OTT: 69.7%

ANA: 30.3%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.79

ANA: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

OTT

Linus Ullmark - 14-8-5 | 0.881 SV% | 2.95 GAA

ANA

Ville Husso - 5-3-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.25 GAA

Stat	OTT	ANA
Season SV%	0.881	0.884
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.95	3.25

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Linus Ullmark	23	23	0	100.0%	3.51	3	3.51
ANA	Ville Husso	29	27	2	93.1%	4.23	2	2.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • OTT at home vs ANA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	OTT 2 - 0 ANA	OTT	OTT
2025-11-20	ANA 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-11	OTT 5 - 1 ANA	OTT	OTT
2024-12-01	ANA 4 - 3 OTT	ANA	OTT
2024-03-06	ANA 2 - 1 OTT	ANA	OTT

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	18	0	1.53
1	ANA	11	1	1.06
2	OTT	17	1	1.85
2	ANA	15	1	1.20
3	OTT	8	1	0.85
3	ANA	17	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown