Colorado Avalanche at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-03-14 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 44.3%

COL: 55.7%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.77

COL: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • WPG at home vs COL: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	COL 2 - 4 WPG	WPG	COL
2026-03-26	WPG 2 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-14	WPG 3 - 1 COL	WPG	COL
2025-12-19	COL 3 - 2 WPG	COL	COL
2025-01-22	COL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	6	0	0.15
1	COL	11	0	0.60
2	WPG	10	2	0.97
2	COL	18	0	1.08
3	WPG	15	2	1.68
3	COL	23	2	1.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3