New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-03-14 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 2 - 4 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 57.5%

NYR: 42.5%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.41

NYR: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs NYR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	MIN 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	MIN
2025-10-20	NYR 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	NYR
2025-04-02	NYR 5 - 4 MIN	NYR	NYR
2025-03-13	MIN 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	NYR
2023-11-09	NYR 4 - 1 MIN	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	9	0	0.58
1	NYR	12	1	0.91
2	MIN	26	2	1.90
2	NYR	11	0	0.71
3	MIN	27	1	1.65
3	NYR	5	1	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 2 - 4 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0