New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2026-03-14 • Grand Casino Arena
Minnesota Wild 2 - 4 New York Rangers
🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 63.6%
NYR: 36.4%
Expected Goals
MIN: 3.73
NYR: 2.62
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 28-15-6 | 0.903 SV% | 2.69 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | MIN | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.836 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.881 | 0.949 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs NYR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | MIN 2 - 4 NYR | NYR | MIN |
| 2025-10-20 | NYR 1 - 3 MIN | MIN | NYR |
| 2025-04-02 | NYR 5 - 4 MIN | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-03-13 | MIN 2 - 3 NYR | NYR | NYR |
| 2023-11-09 | NYR 4 - 1 MIN | NYR | NYR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 4 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.7 - 2.6
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