San Jose Sharks at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-03-14 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 4 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 60.2%
SJS: 39.8%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.52
SJS: 2.62
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | MTL | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.812 | 0.861 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MTL at home vs SJS: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | MTL 2 - 4 SJS | SJS | MTL |
| 2026-03-03 | SJS 7 - 5 MTL | SJS | MTL |
| 2025-02-27 | MTL 4 - 3 SJS | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-02-04 | SJS 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-01-11 | MTL 2 - 3 SJS | SJS | MTL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 4 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6
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