Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-03-14 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 44.8%
CAR: 55.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.88
CAR: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 4.0
Over 5.5: 33%
Over 6.5: 21%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | TBL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.875 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • TBL at home vs CAR: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | TBL 2 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-02-26 | CAR 5 - 4 TBL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-20 | TBL 6 - 4 CAR | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-11 | CAR 4 - 1 TBL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-07 | TBL 3 - 2 CAR | TBL | CAR |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.6
Score Breakdown
Tampa Bay Lightning 2 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8
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