Carolina Hurricanes at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions
2026-03-14 • Benchmark International Arena
Tampa Bay Lightning vs Carolina Hurricanes @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
TBL: 50.8%
CAR: 49.2%
Expected Goals
TBL: 2.76
CAR: 1.65
Total Goals
Median: 4.0
Over 5.5: 32%
Over 6.5: 19%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | TBL | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.921 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.818 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • TBL at home vs CAR: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | CAR | ||
| 2025-12-20 | TBL 6 - 4 CAR | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-11 | CAR 4 - 1 TBL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-07 | TBL 3 - 2 CAR | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-10-11 | CAR 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | CAR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-03-14 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.