Los Angeles Kings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-03-14 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 6 - 4 Los Angeles Kings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 66.6%

LAK: 33.4%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.10

LAK: 2.79

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	NJD	LAK
Season SV%	0.912	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.52	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	31	27	4	87.1%	3.50	2	-0.50
LAK	Anton Forsberg	28	22	6	78.6%	3.19	4	-2.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NJD at home vs LAK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	NJD 6 - 4 LAK	NJD	NJD
2025-11-01	LAK 1 - 4 NJD	NJD	LAK
2025-01-01	LAK 3 - 0 NJD	LAK	LAK
2024-12-12	NJD 3 - 1 LAK	NJD	NJD
2024-03-03	LAK 5 - 1 NJD	LAK	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	0	0.75
1	LAK	19	1	1.18
2	NJD	11	1	0.55
2	LAK	23	1	1.61
3	NJD	17	3	1.88
3	LAK	11	0	0.71

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown