Calgary Flames at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-03-14 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 2 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 52.3%
CGY: 47.7%
Expected Goals
NYI: 3.04
CGY: 2.87
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | NYI | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.851 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.957 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs CGY: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | NYI 3 - 2 CGY | NYI | NYI |
| 2026-01-17 | CGY 4 - 2 NYI | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-03-22 | NYI 3 - 4 CGY | CGY | NYI |
| 2024-11-19 | CGY 2 - 1 NYI | CGY | NYI |
| 2024-02-10 | NYI 2 - 5 CGY | CGY | CGY |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 2 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9
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