Detroit Red Wings at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-03-14 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings (OT)

Win Probability

DAL: 68.0%

DET: 32.0%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.72

DET: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DAL at home vs DET: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	DAL 3 - 2 DET	DAL	DAL
2025-12-23	DET 4 - 3 DAL	DET	DET
2025-04-14	DET 6 - 4 DAL	DET	DET
2025-01-19	DAL 4 - 1 DET	DAL	DAL
2024-01-23	DET 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	13	0	0.64
1	DET	10	1	0.80
2	DAL	16	1	1.25
2	DET	9	0	0.67
3	DAL	12	0	0.82
3	DET	20	3	1.82
4	DAL	1	0	0.10
4	DET	2	0	0.06

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8