Pittsburgh Penguins at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-03-14 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 53.5%

PIT: 46.5%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.26

PIT: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • UTA at home vs PIT: 0-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	UTA 3 - 4 PIT	PIT	UTA
2025-12-14	PIT 4 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-01-29	UTA 2 - 3 PIT	PIT	UTA
2024-11-23	PIT 1 - 6 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	17	1	1.42
1	PIT	13	1	0.86
2	UTA	14	0	1.08
2	PIT	9	1	0.61
3	UTA	16	0	1.37
3	PIT	11	2	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1