St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-03-15 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 47.9%

STL: 52.1%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.12

STL: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WPG at home vs STL: 9-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	STL
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	10	0	0.65
1	STL	13	0	0.84
2	WPG	11	1	1.23
2	STL	11	0	0.75
3	WPG	10	2	0.95
3	STL	20	2	2.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0