Florida Panthers at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-03-15 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 6 - 2 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

SEA: 43.9%

FLA: 56.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.33

FLA: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

SEA

Joey Daccord - 10-9-5 | 0.903 SV% | 2.77 GAA

FLA

Daniil Tarasov - 4-6-2 | 0.899 SV% | 2.96 GAA

Stat	SEA	FLA
Season SV%	0.903	0.899
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.77	2.96

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Joey Daccord	25	23	2	92.0%	3.10	1	1.10
FLA	Daniil Tarasov	25	19	6	76.0%	2.77	1	-3.23

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • SEA at home vs FLA: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	FLA 5 - 4 SEA	FLA	FLA
2026-03-15	SEA 6 - 2 FLA	SEA	FLA
2025-02-22	FLA 1 - 2 SEA	SEA	FLA
2024-12-10	SEA 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	FLA
2023-12-12	SEA 4 - 0 FLA	SEA	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	17	1	1.45
1	FLA	17	1	1.27
2	SEA	6	0	0.41
2	FLA	22	0	1.03
3	SEA	11	0	0.91
3	FLA	13	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown