Calgary Flames at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-03-16 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 5 - 2 Calgary Flames
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 57.1%
CGY: 42.9%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.22
CGY: 2.65
Total Goals
Median: 5.4
Over 5.5: 49%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
| Stat | DET | CGY |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.922 | 0.833 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs CGY: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-16 | DET 5 - 2 CGY | DET | DET |
| 2025-12-10 | CGY 3 - 4 DET | DET | DET |
| 2025-02-01 | CGY 1 - 3 DET | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-27 | DET 2 - 1 CGY | DET | DET |
| 2024-02-17 | CGY 0 - 5 DET | DET | CGY |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 5 - 2 Calgary Flames
Expected: 3.2 - 2.7
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.