Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-03-16 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Boston Bruins (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 57.1%

BOS: 42.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.28

BOS: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jacob Markstrom - 9-9-1 | 0.884 SV% | 3.32 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Stat	NJD	BOS
Season SV%	0.884	0.882
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.32	3.60

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jacob Markstrom	22	19	3	86.4%	2.23	1	-0.77
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	34	30	4	88.2%	2.96	1	-1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NJD at home vs BOS: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	BOS
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	0.61
1	BOS	12	1	0.63
2	NJD	25	1	1.31
2	BOS	10	0	0.43
3	NJD	6	0	0.38
3	BOS	10	0	0.90
4	NJD	5	0	0.66
4	BOS	2	0	0.27

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1